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Red190
128068.1
594068.3
973100.2
Blue165
213584.8
469861.3
69237.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2861620100200400500190165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#30
100.24.4
133.8129.4
Auto18.7
Teleop48.5
End33.0
red by 15.5
2135
#41
84.83.7
74.370.6
Auto10.0
Teleop38.0
End36.8
Second
5940
#19
68.34.4
73.769.3
Auto6.3
Teleop26.5
End35.5
red by 7.0
4698
#39
61.34.1
57.153.0
Auto8.2
Teleop25.5
End27.7
Third
1280
#14
68.14.4
48.343.9
Auto6.8
Teleop33.6
End27.6
red by 30.6
692
#44
37.54.1
38.734.6
Auto5.6
Teleop22.0
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
49%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed