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Red280
166268.2
207379.4
570081.4
Blue211
325063.5
2122B97.8
8104.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2112530100300400500600280211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5700
#10
81.43.3
64.267.5
Auto12.0
Teleop41.7
End27.8
blue by 23.2
8
#5
104.63.3
103.2100.0
Auto12.6
Teleop57.2
End34.8
Second
79.43.3
75.578.8
Auto12.9
Teleop38.1
End28.4
blue by 18.4
97.85.4
64.859.4
Auto17.4
Teleop36.8
End43.7
Third
1662
#27
68.23.3
66.269.5
Auto8.6
Teleop38.9
End20.7
red by 4.7
3250
#15
63.53.3
66.963.6
Auto6.7
Teleop36.7
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed17%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed11%Pressure oddsMissed