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Red476
115103.5
490481.1
84696.9
Blue305
510494.7
418690.4
255166.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082550100200400500600476305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#15
103.51.5
101.9103.5
Auto11.4
Teleop51.1
End40.9
red by 8.8
5104
#13
94.71.3
93.494.7
Auto11.4
Teleop43.9
End39.4
Second
846
#18
96.91.5
95.496.9
Auto11.5
Teleop42.8
End42.6
red by 6.6
90.41.3
89.190.4
Auto8.1
Teleop34.9
End47.4
Third
81.11.5
79.581.1
Auto9.5
Teleop32.9
End38.6
red by 14.4
2551
#31
66.71.3
65.466.7
Auto2.0
Teleop31.6
End33.1