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Final 12017 CalGames
Red446
115103.5
490481.1
84696.9
Blue285
510494.7
418690.4
255166.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022530100200400500446285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#15
103.51.6
100.3→101.9
Auto11.4
Teleop51.1
End40.9
red by 8.8
5104
#13
94.70.8
92.6→93.4
Auto11.4
Teleop43.9
End39.4
Second
846
#18
96.91.6
93.7→95.4
Auto11.5
Teleop42.8
End42.6
red by 6.6
4186
#2
90.40.8
88.3→89.1
Auto8.1
Teleop34.9
End47.4
Third
4904
#4
81.11.6
77.9→79.5
Auto9.5
Teleop32.9
End38.6
red by 14.4
2551
#31
66.70.8
64.7→65.4
Auto2.0
Teleop31.6
End33.1