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Quarterfinal 4-22017 CalGames
Red446
502696.0
649100.5
502751.5
Blue255
107288.3
603680.8
846B36.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2702050100300400500446255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#3
100.52.3
99.1101.4
Auto13.4
Teleop46.7
End40.3
red by 12.2
88.31.2
87.188.3
Auto8.8
Teleop43.3
End36.2
Second
96.02.3
94.696.9
Auto9.1
Teleop50.4
End36.5
red by 15.2
80.81.2
79.680.8
Auto6.1
Teleop40.3
End34.3
Third
5027
#16
51.52.3
50.152.4
Auto5.8
Teleop27.4
End18.2
red by 14.6
846B
#27
36.92.0
35.036.9
Auto7.0
Teleop19.8
End10.1