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Qual 102017 CalGames
Red165
10091.4
248942.4
502751.5
Blue135
681632.1
25346.1
107288.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177171100150200250165135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#6
91.40.0
88.5→88.5
Auto7.5
Teleop29.5
End54.4
red by 3.1
1072
#8
88.32.1
86.2→84.1
Auto8.8
Teleop43.3
End36.2
Second
5027
#16
51.50.1
25.9→26.0
Auto5.8
Teleop27.4
End18.2
red by 5.4
253
#32
46.12.6
49.6→47.1
Auto6.0
Teleop24.4
End15.7
Third
2489
#24
42.40.0
50.0→50.0
Auto6.3
Teleop28.1
End8.0
red by 10.3
6816
#30
32.13.5
30.5→27.1
Auto2.2
Teleop18.7
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed