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Qual 112017 CalGames
Red170
476562.6
304576.3
1351B51.9
Blue240
281358.8
490481.1
76671.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200181100150250170240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3045
#28
76.31.5
74.6→73.1
Auto11.8
Teleop30.0
End34.4
blue by 4.8
4904
#4
81.14.1
55.3→59.3
Auto9.5
Teleop32.9
End38.6
Second
4765
#22
62.61.7
65.0→63.3
Auto8.1
Teleop29.2
End25.3
blue by 8.4
766
#14
71.04.1
72.1→76.2
Auto9.4
Teleop39.1
End22.5
Third
1351B
#21
51.92.5
47.7→45.2
Auto7.0
Teleop16.8
End28.1
blue by 6.9
2813
#9
58.84.1
46.7→50.8
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End22.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed