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Red145
107288.3
902621.3
97262.2
Blue215
196779.2
668836.9
476562.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190179100120140160200220240145215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.32.3
89.887.5
Auto8.8
Teleop43.3
End36.2
red by 9.0
1967
#11
79.22.9
76.879.7
Auto6.8
Teleop27.9
End44.5
Second
972
#25
62.22.3
64.562.2
Auto5.7
Teleop31.6
End25.0
blue by 0.4
4765
#22
62.62.9
60.163.0
Auto8.1
Teleop29.2
End25.3
Third
9026
#33
21.33.8
25.221.3
Auto1.4
Teleop17.6
End2.3
blue by 15.6
6688
#26
36.92.9
34.537.4
Auto5.5
Teleop22.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed