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Qual 322017 CalGames
Red270
247378.4
115103.5
846B36.9
Blue255
304576.3
186894.9
502751.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215222100150200250300270255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#15
103.51.0
96.6→95.6
Auto11.4
Teleop51.1
End40.9
red by 8.5
1868
#12
94.93.3
88.2→91.5
Auto10.6
Teleop40.6
End43.8
Second
2473
#1
78.41.0
76.0→75.0
Auto8.1
Teleop41.1
End29.2
red by 2.1
3045
#28
76.33.3
73.0→76.3
Auto11.8
Teleop30.0
End34.4
Third
846B
#27
36.91.6
37.3→35.6
Auto7.0
Teleop19.8
End10.1
blue by 14.6
5027
#16
51.53.3
44.4→47.7
Auto5.8
Teleop27.4
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
34%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed