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Quarterfinal 1-12017 Sacramento Regional
Red306
254367.9
1678141.3
973118.1
Blue305
166280.8
545895.2
312889.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363263100200300400500600306305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.31.0
141.9140.9
Auto25.1
Teleop56.5
End59.6
red by 46.0
5458
#12
95.21.2
94.395.6
Auto4.2
Teleop40.1
End50.9
Second
973
#3
118.11.0
118.7117.7
Auto17.0
Teleop51.4
End49.7
red by 29.0
3128
#20
89.10.9
88.489.4
Auto9.8
Teleop36.3
End43.1
Third
2543
#29
67.91.0
68.567.6
Auto12.5
Teleop28.8
End26.6
blue by 12.9
1662
#15
80.80.9
80.181.0
Auto9.2
Teleop40.8
End30.8