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Semifinal 1-12017 Sacramento Regional
Red324
254367.9
1678141.3
973118.1
Blue209
167189.6
132389.3
501277.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3652540100200300400500600324209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#1
141.30.6
141.9→141.4
Auto25.1
Teleop56.5
End59.6
red by 51.7
1671
#7
89.61.0
89.4→88.4
Auto10.5
Teleop42.7
End36.4
Second
973
#3
118.10.6
118.8→118.2
Auto17.0
Teleop51.4
End49.7
red by 28.8
1323
#5
89.31.0
89.0→88.0
Auto16.5
Teleop42.3
End30.4
Third
2543
#29
67.90.6
68.6→68.0
Auto12.5
Teleop28.8
End26.6
blue by 9.7
5012
#24
77.71.0
77.5→76.4
Auto7.6
Teleop29.7
End40.4