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Quarterfinal 2-12017 Orange County Regional
Red205
581772.2
597107.1
432288.7
Blue455
347689.6
655481.8
461990.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286275100150200250350400450500205455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#5
107.11.4
107.7→106.3
Auto12.7
Teleop46.3
End48.2
red by 16.7
4619
#35
90.41.4
90.7→92.1
Auto10.8
Teleop37.9
End41.7
Second
4322
#9
88.71.4
89.2→87.8
Auto11.6
Teleop39.3
End37.8
blue by 0.9
3476
#18
89.61.4
89.8→91.2
Auto9.3
Teleop49.6
End30.7
Third
5817
#44
72.21.4
72.8→71.3
Auto10.8
Teleop37.3
End24.1
blue by 9.6
6554
#7
81.81.7
82.1→83.8
Auto6.4
Teleop36.3
End39.0