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Red274
641774.6
3309128.8
392592.4
Blue151
347689.6
655481.8
461990.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3182800100200400500600274151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128.80.5
128.9128.4
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End59.0
red by 38.3
4619
#35
90.42.8
93.290.4
Auto10.8
Teleop37.9
End41.7
Second
3925
#23
92.40.5
92.692.1
Auto9.3
Teleop44.5
End38.5
red by 2.8
3476
#18
89.62.8
92.489.6
Auto9.3
Teleop49.6
End30.7
Third
6417
#13
74.60.6
74.774.1
Auto12.2
Teleop28.0
End34.3
blue by 7.2
81.83.4
85.281.8
Auto6.4
Teleop36.3
End39.0