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Quarterfinal 3-22017 Orange County Regional
Red270
332877.9
427694.9
5802118.7
Blue235
599101.7
448677.4
347389.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3152660100200400500600700270235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#6
118.70.5
118.9→118.4
Auto15.3
Teleop48.1
End55.2
red by 17.0
599
#17
101.70.5
98.0→97.5
Auto12.7
Teleop43.7
End45.3
Second
4276
#2
94.90.5
95.1→94.6
Auto11.5
Teleop49.2
End34.2
red by 5.1
3473
#12
89.80.5
86.2→85.7
Auto5.5
Teleop43.1
End41.3
Third
3328
#22
77.90.5
78.4→77.9
Auto6.0
Teleop32.8
End39.1
red by 0.4
4486
#10
77.40.5
73.8→73.3
Auto5.2
Teleop37.3
End34.9