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Red300
332877.9
427694.9
5802118.7
Blue315
599101.7
448677.4
347389.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3172610100200400500600700300315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118.70.4
119.3118.9
Auto15.3
Teleop48.1
End55.2
red by 17.0
599
#17
101.71.1
96.998.0
Auto12.7
Teleop43.7
End45.3
Second
94.90.4
95.695.1
Auto11.5
Teleop49.2
End34.2
red by 5.1
3473
#12
89.81.1
85.186.2
Auto5.5
Teleop43.1
End41.3
Third
3328
#22
77.90.4
78.878.4
Auto6.0
Teleop32.8
End39.1
red by 0.4
4486
#10
77.41.1
72.773.8
Auto5.2
Teleop37.3
End34.9