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Red470
347389.8
448677.4
599101.7
Blue395
1572103.0
207103.8
4711104.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723400100200400500600700470395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#17
101.71.7
100.9102.6
Auto12.7
Teleop43.7
End45.3
blue by 2.9
4711
#16
104.60.4
105.0104.6
Auto13.6
Teleop42.3
End48.6
Second
3473
#12
89.81.7
89.090.8
Auto5.5
Teleop43.1
End41.3
blue by 14.0
207
#3
103.80.4
104.2103.8
Auto11.7
Teleop53.5
End38.6
Third
4486
#10
77.41.7
76.678.4
Auto5.2
Teleop37.3
End34.9
blue by 25.6
103.00.4
103.4103.0
Auto12.2
Teleop47.6
End43.2