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Red445
512479.2
69673.9
330113.5
Blue281
2486109.1
3309102.5
330375.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2733050100200400500600445281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#4
113.52.4
112.1114.6
Auto17.2
Teleop58.8
End37.6
red by 4.4
109.10.5
108.5108.0
Auto15.6
Teleop43.9
End49.6
Second
5124
#18
79.21.8
78.180.0
Auto9.0
Teleop31.7
End38.4
blue by 23.3
102.50.5
101.9101.4
Auto14.2
Teleop46.5
End41.8
Third
696
#1
73.92.4
72.575.0
Auto9.8
Teleop44.1
End20.0
blue by 1.4
3303
#44
75.30.5
74.874.2
Auto8.4
Teleop33.2
End33.7