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Red262
512479.2
69673.9
330113.5
Blue257
2486109.1
3309102.5
330375.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2783130100200400500600262257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#4
113.50.2
112.3112.1
Auto17.2
Teleop58.8
End37.6
red by 4.4
109.11.2
109.8108.5
Auto15.6
Teleop43.9
End49.6
Second
5124
#18
79.20.1
84.284.0
Auto9.0
Teleop31.7
End38.4
blue by 23.3
102.51.2
103.1101.9
Auto14.2
Teleop46.5
End41.8
Third
696
#1
73.90.2
71.971.7
Auto9.8
Teleop44.1
End20.0
blue by 1.4
3303
#44
75.31.2
79.878.5
Auto8.4
Teleop33.2
End33.7