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Red329
512479.2
69673.9
330113.5
Blue384
2486109.1
3309102.5
330375.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2683060100200400500600700329384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#4
113.52.2
107.1109.3
Auto17.2
Teleop58.8
End37.6
red by 4.4
109.11.8
105.8107.6
Auto15.6
Teleop43.9
End49.6
Second
5124
#18
79.21.5
82.684.2
Auto9.0
Teleop31.7
End38.4
blue by 23.3
102.51.8
101.4103.1
Auto14.2
Teleop46.5
End41.8
Third
696
#1
73.92.2
69.771.9
Auto9.8
Teleop44.1
End20.0
blue by 1.4
3303
#44
75.31.8
78.079.8
Auto8.4
Teleop33.2
End33.7