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Red195
98055.8
461988.8
496479.1
Blue170
340856.3
576558.2
70280.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244203100300400195170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.80.9
89.888.8
Auto9.0
Teleop31.4
End48.4
red by 8.0
702
#19
80.90.7
81.680.9
Auto10.5
Teleop37.5
End32.9
Second
79.10.7
79.879.1
Auto10.6
Teleop37.5
End31.1
red by 20.9
58.21.1
59.358.2
Auto7.5
Teleop32.4
End18.3
Third
980
#25
55.80.7
56.555.8
Auto3.9
Teleop35.3
End16.5
blue by 0.6
3408
#17
56.31.0
57.356.3
Auto8.8
Teleop39.8
End7.7