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Red188
388055.7
276187.6
263788.5
Blue255
441593.6
58063.3
119781.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2522110100300400500600188255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
#11
88.51.0
84.183.1
Auto6.8
Teleop44.0
End37.7
blue by 5.1
4415
#15
93.61.1
80.081.1
Auto13.0
Teleop46.6
End34.0
Second
87.61.0
89.788.7
Auto7.3
Teleop47.3
End33.0
red by 6.5
1197
#24
81.11.1
71.872.9
Auto6.4
Teleop36.9
End37.8
Third
3880
#40
55.71.5
59.758.2
Auto4.3
Teleop35.4
End16.0
blue by 7.6
580
#8
63.31.1
53.955.0
Auto11.2
Teleop38.5
End13.6