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Red451
512479.2
69673.9
330113.5
Blue445
441593.6
58063.3
119781.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272221100200300400451445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#4
113.53.2
103.9107.1
Auto17.2
Teleop58.8
End37.6
red by 19.9
4415
#15
93.62.9
86.889.6
Auto13.0
Teleop46.6
End34.0
Second
5124
#18
79.22.2
80.482.6
Auto9.0
Teleop31.7
End38.4
blue by 1.9
1197
#24
81.12.9
73.876.6
Auto6.4
Teleop36.9
End37.8
Third
696
#1
73.93.2
66.569.7
Auto9.8
Teleop44.1
End20.0
red by 10.6
580
#8
63.32.9
56.058.8
Auto11.2
Teleop38.5
End13.6