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Red445
512479.2
69673.9
330113.5
Blue306
59775.9
397082.7
249382.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291241150200350400450500445306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#4
113.52.2
114.6116.8
Auto17.2
Teleop58.8
End37.6
red by 30.8
3970
#12
82.71.6
81.182.7
Auto11.9
Teleop42.5
End28.3
Second
5124
#18
79.21.7
80.081.6
Auto9.0
Teleop31.7
End38.4
blue by 3.0
2493
#22
82.21.6
80.682.2
Auto7.2
Teleop36.9
End38.1
Third
696
#1
73.92.2
75.077.2
Auto9.8
Teleop44.1
End20.0
blue by 2.0
597
#23
75.92.1
73.875.9
Auto6.9
Teleop36.4
End32.6