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Red309
512479.2
69673.9
330113.5
Blue255
441593.6
58063.3
119781.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272212100300400500309255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#4
113.52.0
106.1108.1
Auto17.2
Teleop58.8
End37.6
red by 19.9
4415
#15
93.61.0
81.182.1
Auto13.0
Teleop46.6
End34.0
Second
5124
#18
79.21.3
79.180.4
Auto9.0
Teleop31.7
End38.4
blue by 1.9
1197
#24
81.11.0
72.973.9
Auto6.4
Teleop36.9
End37.8
Third
696
#1
73.92.0
64.766.8
Auto9.8
Teleop44.1
End20.0
red by 10.6
580
#8
63.31.0
55.056.0
Auto11.2
Teleop38.5
End13.6