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Red0
454372.3
585281.4
325678.6
Blue305
441580.7
669975.5
186857.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23121401003004005006007000305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5852
#5DQ
81.40.1
76.276.2
Auto6.5
Teleop25.9
End48.9
red by 0.6
4415
#35
80.73.2
77.881.0
Auto6.4
Teleop43.7
End30.7
Second
3256
#8DQ
78.60.1
73.573.5
Auto14.1
Teleop34.1
End30.5
red by 3.1
75.52.9
72.875.7
Auto9.2
Teleop41.2
End25.2
Third
4543
#36DQ
72.30.1
67.267.2
Auto7.7
Teleop36.9
End27.7
red by 14.6
1868
#37
57.72.9
55.057.9
Auto7.9
Teleop20.6
End29.2