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Red342
213580.9
1678123.6
132366.1
Blue188
107285.5
973113.3
166260.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259284100200400500342188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.62.8
116.1118.9
Auto18.2
Teleop51.7
End53.7
red by 10.3
973
#4
113.32.5
115.8113.3
Auto12.4
Teleop52.8
End48.1
Second
2135
#17
80.92.5
74.276.7
Auto7.9
Teleop38.2
End34.8
blue by 4.6
85.52.3
87.885.5
Auto11.1
Teleop35.2
End39.2
Third
1323
#25
66.12.8
58.761.4
Auto16.2
Teleop33.3
End16.5
red by 5.7
1662
#12
60.42.3
62.760.4
Auto6.6
Teleop33.6
End20.2