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Red288
213580.9
1678123.6
132366.1
Blue115
581775.3
513450.9
29487.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256219100150200300350400450288115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.61.5
112.4113.9
Auto18.2
Teleop51.7
End53.7
red by 36.4
294
#22
87.13.1
87.083.9
Auto12.9
Teleop41.5
End32.7
Second
2135
#17
80.91.4
70.772.1
Auto7.9
Teleop38.2
End34.8
red by 5.6
5817
#23
75.32.9
75.372.3
Auto8.1
Teleop34.2
End33.1
Third
1323
#25
66.11.5
54.956.4
Auto16.2
Teleop33.3
End16.5
red by 15.2
5134
#10
50.92.9
50.847.9
Auto5.3
Teleop26.2
End19.3