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Red352
213580.9
1678123.6
132366.1
Blue305
581775.3
513450.9
29487.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264207100300400500352305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.62.7
113.9116.5
Auto18.2
Teleop51.7
End53.7
red by 36.4
294
#22
87.13.2
83.987.1
Auto12.9
Teleop41.5
End32.7
Second
2135
#17
80.92.4
72.174.5
Auto7.9
Teleop38.2
End34.8
red by 5.6
5817
#23
75.33.0
72.375.3
Auto8.1
Teleop34.2
End33.1
Third
1323
#25
66.12.7
56.459.1
Auto16.2
Teleop33.3
End16.5
red by 15.2
5134
#10
50.93.0
47.950.9
Auto5.3
Teleop26.2
End19.3