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Red178
464347.4
1678123.6
68743.3
Blue187
669975.5
75187.5
281332.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2141540100300400500600178187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.65.3
107.3102.0
Auto18.2
Teleop51.7
End53.7
red by 36.0
751
#3
87.53.6
69.172.6
Auto6.7
Teleop37.9
End43.0
Second
4643
#16
47.45.3
40.034.7
Auto6.8
Teleop27.4
End13.3
blue by 28.1
75.53.6
62.466.0
Auto9.2
Teleop41.2
End25.2
Third
687
#39
43.35.3
48.242.9
Auto3.2
Teleop19.2
End21.0
red by 10.8
2813
#41
32.53.6
23.427.0
Auto7.6
Teleop23.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed