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Red280
276179.1
142258.9
29487.1
Blue101
427673.8
67055.7
208558.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1931780100300400500280101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#22
87.18.2
72.280.4
Auto12.9
Teleop41.5
End32.7
red by 13.3
4276
#20
73.87.8
63.055.1
Auto5.4
Teleop35.2
End33.2
Second
79.18.2
64.672.8
Auto8.5
Teleop37.6
End33.0
red by 20.9
2085
#33
58.27.3
55.648.3
Auto5.7
Teleop33.4
End19.1
Third
1422
#29
58.98.2
44.252.4
Auto3.4
Teleop27.5
End28.0
red by 3.2
670
#18
55.77.8
52.845.0
Auto9.7
Teleop32.6
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed