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Red518
195145.8
1080101.9
107399.6
Blue523
5687126.4
125138.9
1796116.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414521200300600700800518523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#5
145.81.1
145.8146.9
Auto34.7
Teleop64.4
End46.7
red by 6.9
125
#3
138.90.6
137.6138.1
Auto34.5
Teleop53.2
End51.1
Second
1080
#26
101.91.1
101.9103.0
Auto10.6
Teleop53.3
End38.0
blue by 24.5
126.40.6
125.1125.6
Auto13.4
Teleop65.5
End47.5
Third
1073
#24
99.61.1
99.6100.7
Auto13.0
Teleop50.0
End36.6
blue by 16.8
1796
#15
116.40.6
115.1115.7
Auto13.8
Teleop61.5
End41.2