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Red320
107399.6
1080101.9
195145.8
Blue538
5687126.4
125138.9
1796116.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions418523200300600700800320538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#5
145.81.1
146.9145.8
Auto34.7
Teleop64.4
End46.7
red by 6.9
125
#3
138.90.7
138.1138.9
Auto34.5
Teleop53.2
End51.1
Second
1080
#26
101.91.1
103.0101.9
Auto10.6
Teleop53.3
End38.0
blue by 24.5
126.40.7
125.6126.4
Auto13.4
Teleop65.5
End47.5
Third
1073
#24
99.61.1
100.799.6
Auto13.0
Teleop50.0
End36.6
blue by 16.8
1796
#15
116.40.7
115.7116.4
Auto13.8
Teleop61.5
End41.2