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Red475
5024123.7
2052109.3
33140.4
Blue517
5687126.4
125138.9
1796116.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477508300400600700800475517

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
140.40.0
141.7141.7
Auto26.1
Teleop61.9
End52.4
red by 1.5
125
#3
138.90.5
136.6137.1
Auto34.5
Teleop53.2
End51.1
Second
123.70.0
125.0125.0
Auto12.2
Teleop61.7
End49.8
blue by 2.7
126.40.5
124.1124.6
Auto13.4
Teleop65.5
End47.5
Third
2052
#33
109.30.0
109.4109.3
Auto12.2
Teleop42.7
End54.4
blue by 7.1
1796
#15
116.40.5
114.1114.6
Auto13.8
Teleop61.5
End41.2