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Quarterfinal 2-22017 Carson Division
Red417
135116.5
632990.4
4003125.0
Blue465
195145.8
1080101.9
177103.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439441380400420460480500417465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#10
125.00.4
125.4→125.0
Auto16.0
Teleop56.9
End52.2
blue by 20.8
195
#5
145.80.0
142.7→142.7
Auto34.7
Teleop64.4
End46.7
Second
135
#4
116.50.4
116.8→116.5
Auto12.0
Teleop54.1
End50.4
red by 12.9
177
#27
103.50.0
102.0→102.1
Auto11.4
Teleop53.0
End39.1
Third
6329
#37
90.40.4
90.8→90.4
Auto5.0
Teleop50.3
End35.1
blue by 11.5
1080
#26
101.90.0
98.8→98.8
Auto10.6
Teleop53.3
End38.0