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Red426
5024123.7
20111.9
33140.4
Blue524
5687126.4
125138.9
1796116.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions501506440460480520540560426524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
140.41.3
141.7140.4
Auto26.1
Teleop61.9
End52.4
red by 1.5
125
#3
138.90.5
137.1137.6
Auto34.5
Teleop53.2
End51.1
Second
123.71.3
125.0123.7
Auto12.2
Teleop61.7
End49.8
blue by 2.7
126.40.5
124.6125.1
Auto13.4
Teleop65.5
End47.5
Third
20
#44
111.91.3
113.2111.9
Auto15.1
Teleop53.6
End43.2
blue by 4.5
1796
#15
116.40.5
114.6115.1
Auto13.8
Teleop61.5
End41.2