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Red305
1937103.8
190287.1
231121.7
Blue415
3339112.6
2122139.0
255684.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324349100200300400500600305415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#11
121.70.4
120.0119.6
Auto18.2
Teleop54.1
End49.3
blue by 17.3
139.04.1
138.5142.6
Auto33.9
Teleop54.8
End50.3
Second
1937
#29
103.80.4
107.1106.6
Auto11.7
Teleop51.4
End40.6
blue by 8.8
112.64.1
110.2114.3
Auto13.6
Teleop53.4
End45.5
Third
1902
#64
87.10.4
84.484.0
Auto7.6
Teleop37.5
End42.0
red by 2.9
2556
#35
84.14.1
80.084.1
Auto7.7
Teleop38.6
End37.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
17%Rotor oddsMissed6%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed55%Pressure oddsEarned