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Red210
157792.2
613385.8
2059100.2
Blue298
2992102.5
4911106.3
3674120.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299365100200400500600210298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#20
100.27.2
103.095.8
Auto8.4
Teleop49.6
End42.3
blue by 20.5
3674
#23
120.72.7
123.6120.9
Auto17.1
Teleop60.0
End43.7
Second
1577
#41
92.27.2
96.389.1
Auto8.6
Teleop52.0
End31.6
blue by 14.1
4911
#18
106.32.7
111.2108.6
Auto11.1
Teleop54.6
End40.6
Third
6133
#56
85.87.2
93.786.5
Auto11.5
Teleop38.6
End35.7
blue by 16.6
2992
#21
102.52.7
103.4100.8
Auto17.8
Teleop52.3
End32.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
7%Rotor oddsMissed80%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed