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Red295
303572.3
3674120.7
263796.1
Blue299
302495.6
2930108.0
1690129.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290333100200400500295299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3674
#23
120.70.9
117.7118.6
Auto17.1
Teleop60.0
End43.7
blue by 8.6
129.30.8
127.8127.0
Auto32.8
Teleop51.8
End44.8
Second
2637
#38
96.10.9
96.797.6
Auto10.5
Teleop50.7
End35.0
blue by 11.9
108.00.8
85.384.4
Auto16.2
Teleop52.2
End39.6
Third
3035
#59
72.30.9
67.067.9
Auto5.3
Teleop38.0
End29.0
blue by 23.2
3024
#36
95.60.8
98.197.3
Auto9.8
Teleop52.8
End33.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
7%Rotor oddsEarned13%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed32%Pressure oddsEarned