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Red383
1746121.7
1671106.5
93291.7
Blue298
2359111.5
2122139.0
131169.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289347100200400500600383298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#17
121.75.0
105.1110.2
Auto16.5
Teleop55.2
End50.0
blue by 17.3
139.01.6
139.3137.7
Auto33.9
Teleop54.8
End50.3
Second
106.55.0
96.4101.5
Auto10.0
Teleop52.8
End43.6
blue by 5.1
2359
#15
111.51.6
114.5112.8
Auto14.7
Teleop47.0
End49.8
Third
932
#22
91.75.0
81.086.1
Auto9.6
Teleop41.3
End40.8
red by 22.6
1311
#66
69.11.6
68.967.2
Auto9.0
Teleop31.7
End28.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed18%Pressure oddsEarned