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Red255
347666.8
364782.3
153898.5
Blue205
519981.6
312891.5
263778.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263238100150200300350400450255205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.50.3
98.098.3
Auto15.5
Teleop47.0
End36.0
red by 7.0
3128
#10
91.50.8
84.283.4
Auto11.2
Teleop35.4
End44.9
Second
82.30.3
81.782.0
Auto6.7
Teleop40.7
End35.0
red by 0.8
5199
#47
81.60.8
74.373.5
Auto8.8
Teleop46.3
End26.4
Third
3476
#16
66.80.3
66.266.5
Auto9.7
Teleop39.5
End17.6
blue by 11.6
2637
#18
78.40.8
71.170.3
Auto6.4
Teleop32.3
End39.7