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Red285
263778.4
312891.5
519981.6
Blue225
96868.1
39998.2
513752.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2512240100200300400500285225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#10
91.51.6
85.987.5
Auto11.2
Teleop35.4
End44.9
blue by 6.7
399
#5
98.20.3
97.397.6
Auto13.2
Teleop42.6
End42.4
Second
5199
#47
81.61.6
76.077.6
Auto8.8
Teleop46.3
End26.4
red by 13.5
968
#31
68.10.3
67.267.4
Auto4.3
Teleop33.1
End30.7
Third
2637
#18
78.41.6
72.874.4
Auto6.4
Teleop32.3
End39.7
red by 25.6
5137
#54
52.80.3
51.852.1
Auto6.4
Teleop32.8
End13.6