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Red165
502671.8
145871.8
490475.0
Blue305
170062.9
172684.3
66893.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233230160180200220260280300320165305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#14
75.01.4
74.072.6
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End37.5
blue by 18.1
668
#17
93.12.2
87.689.8
Auto10.2
Teleop41.7
End41.2
Second
71.81.4
70.869.4
Auto6.0
Teleop24.4
End41.5
blue by 12.4
84.32.2
78.780.9
Auto7.4
Teleop34.2
End42.8
Third
5026
#16
71.81.4
70.769.3
Auto11.6
Teleop45.9
End14.3
red by 8.8
1700
#28
62.92.0
57.959.9
Auto5.1
Teleop29.1
End28.7