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Semifinal 1-22017 San Francisco Regional
Red336
499061.9
254138.2
971116.5
Blue215
490475.0
145871.8
502671.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3632090100300400500600336215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
138.20.3
140.0→139.7
Auto18.9
Teleop64.0
End55.2
red by 63.1
4904
#14
75.00.1
75.1→75.0
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End37.5
Second
971
#2
116.50.3
118.3→118.0
Auto22.6
Teleop50.3
End43.6
red by 44.7
1458
#6
71.80.1
71.9→71.8
Auto6.0
Teleop24.4
End41.5
Third
4990
#22
61.90.3
63.7→63.4
Auto9.2
Teleop21.0
End31.8
blue by 9.8
5026
#16
71.80.1
71.9→71.8
Auto11.6
Teleop45.9
End14.3