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Red507
499084.4
254167.3
604117.8
Blue285
97266.3
348280.5
186891.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4182200100300500600700507285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
167.30.5
165.2165.7
Auto32.1
Teleop70.3
End64.9
red by 75.8
1868
#26
91.51.1
90.491.5
Auto12.9
Teleop34.7
End43.9
Second
604
#3
117.80.5
115.7116.3
Auto15.4
Teleop60.1
End42.3
red by 37.2
80.51.1
79.480.5
Auto6.4
Teleop37.4
End36.8
Third
4990
#20
84.40.5
82.482.9
Auto11.7
Teleop32.7
End40.0
red by 18.1
972
#30
66.31.1
65.266.3
Auto8.5
Teleop35.8
End22.0