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Red509
499084.4
254167.3
604117.8
Blue310
490487.5
10088.1
502698.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4122710100200500600700509310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
167.30.5
165.7166.3
Auto32.1
Teleop70.3
End64.9
red by 68.5
5026
#12
98.70.2
99.099.2
Auto11.1
Teleop51.8
End35.8
Second
604
#3
117.80.5
116.3116.8
Auto15.4
Teleop60.1
End42.3
red by 29.7
100
#5
88.10.2
88.388.5
Auto8.4
Teleop37.4
End42.3
Third
4990
#20
84.40.5
82.983.4
Auto11.7
Teleop32.7
End40.0
blue by 3.0
4904
#36
87.50.2
87.787.9
Auto11.2
Teleop36.7
End39.6