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Red170
113856.2
351296.7
385159.4
Blue95
676434.1
399329.4
257690.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229152010020030040050060017095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.74.6
95.791.1
Auto12.5
Teleop44.7
End39.5
red by 6.4
90.34.0
84.580.5
Auto6.4
Teleop42.0
End41.9
Second
3851
#25
59.44.6
55.951.3
Auto5.1
Teleop26.9
End27.5
red by 25.4
6764
#38
34.16.3
33.727.4
Auto3.8
Teleop27.1
End3.1
Third
1138
#24
56.24.6
55.851.3
Auto1.9
Teleop34.3
End20.0
red by 26.8
3993
#41
29.45.8
37.231.4
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End-6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed