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Red149
586962.4
392581.5
242970.7
Blue152
396555.0
388268.2
471185.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208198150250300149152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3925
#12
81.54.6
69.464.8
Auto7.6
Teleop38.6
End35.2
blue by 4.4
85.93.7
81.678.0
Auto9.0
Teleop34.2
End42.7
Second
2429
#15
70.74.6
69.965.3
Auto11.2
Teleop24.0
End35.5
red by 2.5
3882
#17
68.23.7
65.561.8
Auto5.0
Teleop25.6
End37.6
Third
5869
#18
62.44.6
57.452.8
Auto1.4
Teleop37.8
End23.2
red by 7.4
3965
#27
55.03.7
42.939.2
Auto6.3
Teleop36.8
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed