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Red305
513662.2
351296.7
581888.5
Blue190
375993.4
656084.9
196776.5
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260276100200300400500305190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.71.4
97.298.6
Auto12.5
Teleop44.7
End39.5
red by 3.3
93.41.7
95.193.4
Auto9.4
Teleop33.0
End51.0
Second
5818
#19
88.51.2
89.090.2
Auto10.2
Teleop40.7
End37.6
red by 3.6
84.91.7
86.684.9
Auto8.0
Teleop39.0
End37.9
Third
5136
#23
62.21.5
62.864.3
Auto5.0
Teleop32.5
End24.7
blue by 14.3
1967
#22
76.51.9
78.476.5
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End53.8