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Semifinal 1-22017 Ventura Regional
Red305
513662.2
351296.7
581888.5
Blue260
375993.4
656084.9
196776.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2302140100300400500600700800305260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3512
#1
96.73.1
88.9→92.0
Auto12.5
Teleop44.7
End39.5
red by 3.3
3759
#5
93.41.8
77.5→79.3
Auto9.4
Teleop33.0
End51.0
Second
5818
#19
88.52.0
84.1→86.1
Auto10.2
Teleop40.7
End37.6
red by 3.6
6560
#4
84.91.9
68.4→70.3
Auto8.0
Teleop39.0
End37.9
Third
5136
#23
62.23.3
42.5→45.8
Auto5.0
Teleop32.5
End24.7
blue by 14.3
1967
#22
76.51.8
58.9→60.7
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End53.8