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Red335
186882.8
502699.7
501298.6
Blue306
973138.6
641873.5
213594.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3123270100200400500600335306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#23
99.72.9
93.991.0
Auto11.8
Teleop49.8
End38.1
blue by 38.8
973
#5
138.60.2
133.6133.4
Auto35.0
Teleop62.4
End41.2
Second
98.62.9
109.7106.8
Auto9.2
Teleop46.0
End43.4
red by 4.2
2135
#17
94.40.2
94.193.9
Auto7.3
Teleop39.9
End47.3
Third
1868
#25
82.82.9
95.092.1
Auto11.5
Teleop33.1
End38.1
red by 9.4
6418
#32
73.50.2
80.980.7
Auto9.0
Teleop38.0
End26.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed4%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed20%Pressure oddsEarned